Kristy: We realize that the second season (or should I say “series”–is that “correct” or just pretentious?) of Downton Abbey has already aired in the UK and that many of our readers have likely watched it online through somewhat illegal means, but we had talked about this feature a while back and decided we wanted to go with it. The idea is to place odds on the characters that we love (or love to hate) surviving this year on our delicious British confection.
I have done my best to avoid spoilers for the second season–I did happen upon a description of the Christmas special which makes it clear that at least two characters survive until then, but they weren’t characters I ever considered likely to perish anyway. I also had a dream where I was talking to friend of the blog Christina and her lovely wife. In the dream they and I lamented the fact that the show had killed Henry. Now I have no clue who Henry is, but on at least one occasion in my life I have managed to dream eerily accurate spoilers for a show, so I thought I’d go ahead and mention it in case Henry actually exists.
Cammy: For the record, in the event that Downton Abbey does manage to introduce a character named Henry this season, and if he also dies this season, I will see to it that Kristy gets an awesome prize for her powers of prognostication.
Kristy: Well… anytime a story hinges on who will inherit an estate, you have to suspect that the current owner may pass away before all is said and done. But aside from that I see no major black clouds hanging over his head, narratively speaking. If he does die I would expect it to be very close to the end of the season. Death odds: 1:4
Cammy: I second this. I think it’s more than likely that Lord Grantham will stick around safely for the entire season–and probably into the next.
Kristy: Well… she’s old. that alone raises her odds. But she’s a tough old bird. Death odds: 1:10
Cammy: I’d put that at even better odds for the gal: 1:200. This gal will outlive them all–and be highly displeased when she’s been left alone.
Kristy: I’m fairly certain he will live, if for no other reason than so that he can feel guilty over his inability to go to war. Death odds: 1:100
Cammy: Second this call. Not only will he have guilt over his inability to go to war, he’s got all that other seemingly needless guilt he’s been toting around. That said, if he can find a way to get himself to the front lines, he will get his ass killed trying to spare someone else in some kind of karmic payment plan, however due to the low odds of his finding a way to the front lines, I think he’s safe at that 1:100.
Kristy: If she dies the only way I see it happening is at her own hands. Woman is (for good reason) carrying some serious guilt. Not sure I see that as very likely, but wouldn’t rule it out. Death odds: 1:10
Cammy: Disagree in part here. While I agree that the only way it would happen is at her own hands, I really don’t think the odds of her having the guts to do it are 1:10. I’m putting her at 1:50.
Cammy: While it would make me no end of happy to have Thomas shuffle loose the mortal coil, his close kinship to cockroaches makes it sadly unlikely that he will bite it. No, he’ll be lingering around to make others miserable for a while yet. Right up to the point where it’s just him and Lady Violet. At which point, she will destroy him with her masterful Dowager Countess Superpowers of nagging and insults. 1:1000
Kristy: As Cammy said, he’s a cockroach. I’m nearly certain he’ll pull through. Death odds: 1:1000
Cammy: This poor boy has “Ensign Ricky” written all over him. Thomas had it right when he called this poor kid “cannon fodder.” Odds 1:2
Kristy: Again, to cite Cammy, the boy might as well be wearing red shirt. It’s gonna break my heart, but things don’t look good for him. Death odds: 1:2
Kristy: Let’s be clear: if this were an American television show, I’d picture a happy ending for him and Sibyl. One where they overcome the strong objections of her family (and possibly his) and a multitude of social morays. But this show is British, and they realize that class and ethnic differences are not always so easily overcome. I hear “Irish nationalist” and “WWI” and I think “Easter Monday Rebellion.” Which, more or less, makes him a goner. Though I’m not ruling out a storyline where he deserts, refusing to serve in the British army, and Sibyl winds up hiding him somewhere. Death odds: 1:3
Cammy: I’ll second this one, although I think we can blame as much of his potential demise on Sybil as on his Irish Radical origins. Since Sybil is left out of the dirty war going on between her older sisters, she doesn’t have enough pure “suck” in her life. It’s time for a bit of misery to greet the youngest daughter.
Kristy: She’s the only one of the Crawley girls I’m really worried about. It’s way to easy to see her doing something brave but stupid and winding up dead. Death odds: 1:6
Cammy: Not sure I’d put it at quite 1:6, maybe 1:10, but I certainly agree with Kristy that she’s the Crawley girl to worry about, particularly if she has to deal with Branson kicking the bucket.
Cammy: I’m kinda worried about this girl. For one thing, I’m not entirely sure she’s not going to get thrown under the bus when someone finally tries to claim that Mr. Pamook’s death was murder. That said, I somehow doubt this will wind up happening and if it does, I don’t know if they could manage and entire investigation, arrest, conviction, sentencing and execution in this one season, so she’s probably still pretty safe. 1:15
Old Mr. Mosely
Cammy: Okay, this is another one that is solely me. And it will never be proven, but I’m 100 percent sure that Old Mr. Mosely will die. He has nothing left to live for after winning that flower show. It’s all done. Of course, since we haven’t seen him since the flower show and I’m just as sure we’ll never see him on-screen again, there’s no way to prove that he’s not 6 feet under. How sure am I? Sure enough that if he DOES show up onscreen again, I will dye my hair.
Kristy: Everyone else (with the exception of some minor characters here and there) I feel fairly confident will pull through. I was worried about Gwen, but I’m not sure she even appears in this season. If Joss Whedon were writing this, she’d be killed in a bombing a week after starting her dream job. But thankfully he isn’t. And this is a period drama, not Lost so they can’t kill everyone.